← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2 | RN1 | sainttroplay | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 65% (1257–673, n=1930) | 48% (12896–14023, n=26919) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.6M | $13.4M | $4.4M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #811 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 92% (12 of 13 open) | 48% (11 of 23 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (2 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | Entertainment −13 pts, n=10 | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 98% of 1600 at avg 75¢, ROI +8% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 64% of 69) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 0% | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 91% of 102) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 19% (won 98% of 309) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 70% (won 100% of 1120) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 0% | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2 | RN1 | sainttroplay | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Senators vs. Ducks opposite sides · consensus Senators | Senators $791 | Ducks $657 | — | — |
| Taipei: Evan Zhu vs Yuta Shimizu opposite sides · consensus Yuta Shimizu | Yuta Shimizu $4 | Evan Zhu $320 | — | — |