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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xa169f83d28ad1ce5a14cc1c49796b547ece21b73BreakTheBanksainttroplay00gringo00
Record (consensus markets)50% (154–152, n=306)45% (542–652, n=1194)71% (10–4, n=14)75% (6–2, n=8)
Consensus PnL$6.0K$10.6M$4.4M$3.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #592PM monthly #1was PM monthly #11was PM monthly #19
Sides with the consensus57% (39 of 68 open)90% (144 of 160 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicEntertainment ±0 pts, n=10———
Settled positions, side won84% of 161 at avg 77¢, ROI +1%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%
Entries under 30¢13% (won 24% of 21)10% (won 82% of 56)0%0%
Entries 30–50¢5% (won 63% of 8)36% (won 98% of 198)50% (won 100% of 5)0%
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 94% of 18)35% (won 99% of 191)50% (won 100% of 5)100% (won 86% of 7)
Entries 70¢ and up71% (won 95% of 114)19% (won 100% of 107)0%0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xa169f83d28ad1ce5a14cc1c49796b547ece21b73BreakTheBanksainttroplay00gringo00
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $359Yes $270K——
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $158No $117K——
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $91Yes $85K——