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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xa68c732b3dcd1cf32775e069f02cb6730c46f805BreakTheBank00gringo00beachboy4
Record (consensus markets)65% (184–99, n=283)45% (535–643, n=1178)75% (6–2, n=8)68% (43–20, n=63)
Consensus PnL$26K$10.6M$3.5M$5.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #607PM monthly #1was PM monthly #19was PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position72% (83 of 116 open)no open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • Crypto +57 pts n=35, ROI +62%
  • Soccer +31 pts n=86, ROI +32%
  • MLB +29 pts n=35, ROI +28%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
none with 10+ settled
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic———NBA −6 pts, n=92
Settled positions, side won99% of 156 at avg 62¢, ROI +55%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 100% of 11)10% (won 85% of 53)0%3% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢14% (won 95% of 22)36% (won 98% of 192)0%29% (won 56% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢44% (won 99% of 69)35% (won 99% of 187)100% (won 86% of 7)54% (won 51% of 115)
Entries 70¢ and up35% (won 100% of 54)20% (won 100% of 107)0%14% (won 86% of 29)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.