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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0BreakTheBankjoseph00677primm
Record (consensus markets)93% (3667–289, n=3956)46% (560–667, n=1227)53% (10–9, n=19)50% (1078–1087, n=2165)
Consensus PnL$89K$9.4M$5.6M$3.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #624PM monthly #2PM monthly #1PM monthly #51
Sides with the consensus67% (4 of 6 open)55% (11 of 20 open)no open consensus position67% (2 of 3 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +45 pts n=77, ROI +45%
  • NBA +39 pts n=343, ROI −3%
  • Soccer +35 pts n=517, ROI +37%
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 999 at avg 62¢, ROI +18%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢8% (won 100% of 77)11% (won 80% of 61)12% (won 0% of 2)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢23% (won 100% of 229)35% (won 98% of 203)6% (won 0% of 1)41% (won 99% of 405)
Entries 50–70¢30% (won 100% of 295)35% (won 100% of 201)65% (won 73% of 11)49% (won 99% of 485)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 100% of 398)20% (won 100% of 115)18% (won 67% of 3)5% (won 100% of 46)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.