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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0joseph00677ndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)92% (3728–317, n=4045)45% (10–12, n=22)63% (990–573, n=1563)48% (14128–15613, n=29741)
Consensus PnL$89K$5.3M$3.2M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #624PM monthly #2PM monthly #104PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus20% (1 of 5 open)no open consensus position73% (81 of 111 open)59% (17 of 29 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +44 pts n=81, ROI +45%
  • NBA +40 pts n=350, ROI −2%
  • Soccer +35 pts n=521, ROI +37%
Weakest topic——NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won100% of 1014 at avg 62¢, ROI +19%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢8% (won 100% of 78)12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 15% of 168)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢23% (won 100% of 233)6% (won 0% of 1)20% (won 39% of 256)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 100% of 297)65% (won 73% of 11)24% (won 58% of 314)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 100% of 406)18% (won 67% of 3)43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0joseph00677ndb1RN1
Bratislava 2: Jurij Rodionov vs Toby Samuel
opposite sides · consensus Jurij Rodionov
Toby Samuel $23——Jurij Rodionov $8.0K
Villa Maria: Juan Bautista Torres vs Ryan Nijboer
opposite sides · consensus Juan Bautista Torres
Ryan Nijboer $11——Juan Bautista Torres $3.3K
Taranto: Philip Henning vs Carlo Alberto Caniato
same side · consensus Philip Henning
Philip Henning $130——Philip Henning $3.5K