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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0joseph00677primmRN1
Record (consensus markets)92% (3725–317, n=4042)45% (10–12, n=22)50% (1105–1118, n=2223)47% (14123–15612, n=29735)
Consensus PnL$89K$5.3M$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #624PM monthly #2PM monthly #46PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus71% (5 of 7 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position66% (21 of 32 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +44 pts n=81, ROI +45%
  • NBA +40 pts n=350, ROI −2%
  • Soccer +35 pts n=521, ROI +37%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 1014 at avg 62¢, ROI +19%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢8% (won 100% of 78)12% (won 0% of 2)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢23% (won 100% of 233)6% (won 0% of 1)41% (won 99% of 405)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 100% of 297)65% (won 73% of 11)49% (won 99% of 485)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 100% of 406)18% (won 67% of 3)5% (won 100% of 46)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0joseph00677primmRN1
Taranto: Sumit Nagal vs Hugo Grenier
opposite sides · consensus Sumit Nagal
Hugo Grenier $33——Sumit Nagal $2.3K
Chennai Open: Anastasia Zakharova vs Vaishnavi Adkar
same side · consensus Anastasia Zakharova
Anastasia Zakharova $17——Anastasia Zakharova $13K
Bratislava 2: Tom Gentzsch vs Matej Dodig
same side · consensus Matej Dodig
Matej Dodig $20——Matej Dodig $98
Rolex Paris Masters: Rinky Hijikata vs Tomas Etcheverry
same side · consensus Rinky Hijikata
Rinky Hijikata $5——Rinky Hijikata $4