Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0ndb1S-Works
Record (consensus markets)54% (4270–3640, n=7910)64% (1101–632, n=1733)75% (2553–858, n=3411)
Consensus PnL$69K$4.6M$3.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #624PM monthly #109PM monthly #66
Sides with the consensus64% (9 of 14 open)73% (76 of 104 open)0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +43 pts n=88, ROI +44%
  • NBA +38 pts n=424, ROI −1%
  • Soccer +34 pts n=586, ROI +36%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topic—NFL −8 pts, n=147Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won100% of 1189 at avg 63¢, ROI +19%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢8% (won 99% of 90)13% (won 14% of 187)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 100% of 256)19% (won 39% of 269)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 100% of 341)23% (won 57% of 328)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up42% (won 100% of 502)44% (won 94% of 622)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.