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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0BreakTheBankndb1S-Works
Record (consensus markets)54% (4270–3640, n=7910)41% (589–853, n=1442)64% (1101–632, n=1733)75% (2553–858, n=3411)
Consensus PnL$69K$8.4M$4.6M$3.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #624PM monthly #1PM monthly #109PM monthly #66
Sides with the consensus69% (9 of 13 open)88% (29 of 33 open)73% (76 of 104 open)0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +43 pts n=88, ROI +44%
  • NBA +38 pts n=424, ROI −1%
  • Soccer +34 pts n=586, ROI +36%
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topic——NFL −8 pts, n=147Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won100% of 1189 at avg 63¢, ROI +19%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢8% (won 99% of 90)10% (won 82% of 60)13% (won 14% of 187)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 100% of 256)36% (won 98% of 212)19% (won 39% of 269)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 100% of 341)35% (won 100% of 205)23% (won 57% of 328)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up42% (won 100% of 502)20% (won 100% of 116)44% (won 94% of 622)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0BreakTheBankndb1S-Works
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $425KNo $350K—
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $306KYes $12K—