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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0ndb1RN1S-Works
Record (consensus markets)54% (4290–3671, n=7961)63% (1100–635, n=1735)48% (19699–21461, n=41160)75% (2552–856, n=3408)
Consensus PnL$70K$4.6M$14.9M$3.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #624PM monthly #110PM monthly #35 + pinnedPM monthly #67
Sides with the consensus44% (8 of 18 open)71% (67 of 95 open)51% (22 of 43 open)0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +43 pts n=88, ROI +44%
  • NBA +38 pts n=424, ROI −1%
  • Soccer +34 pts n=586, ROI +36%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topic—NFL −7 pts, n=158—Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won100% of 1189 at avg 63¢, ROI +19%66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢8% (won 99% of 90)13% (won 14% of 196)10% (won 57% of 2594)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 100% of 256)18% (won 40% of 283)22% (won 94% of 5704)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 100% of 341)23% (won 58% of 348)35% (won 99% of 9204)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up42% (won 100% of 502)46% (won 94% of 710)33% (won 100% of 8622)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0ndb1RN1S-Works
Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
opposite sides · consensus Billy Harris
Liam Broady $52—Billy Harris $6.2K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $30—No $2.4K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1—Over $1.8K—
Orleans: Max Houkes vs Tom Gentzsch
opposite sides · consensus Tom Gentzsch
Tom Gentzsch $30—Max Houkes $947—
Monastir: Sandro Kopp vs Luka Mikrut
opposite sides · consensus Sandro Kopp
Luka Mikrut $19—Sandro Kopp $6—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Max Dahlin
same side · consensus Tomas Etcheverry
Max Dahlin $1—Max Dahlin $495—
Lima: Filip Misolic vs Alan Magadan
same side · consensus Filip Misolic
Filip Misolic $37—Filip Misolic $254—