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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0ndb1primmRN1
Record (consensus markets)92% (3747–337, n=4084)63% (993–576, n=1569)50% (1116–1129, n=2245)48% (14234–15729, n=29963)
Consensus PnL$89K$4.8M$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #624PM monthly #97PM monthly #54PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus40% (2 of 5 open)69% (52 of 75 open)no open consensus position48% (12 of 25 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +40 pts n=353, ROI −2%
  • MLB +44 pts n=82, ROI +45%
  • Soccer +35 pts n=530, ROI +37%
Weakest topic—NFL −9 pts, n=139——
Settled positions, side won100% of 1032 at avg 62¢, ROI +19%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢8% (won 100% of 78)13% (won 15% of 168)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢23% (won 100% of 238)20% (won 39% of 256)41% (won 99% of 412)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢30% (won 100% of 305)24% (won 58% of 314)50% (won 99% of 503)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 100% of 411)43% (won 93% of 550)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0ndb1primmRN1
Taranto: Maxim Mrva vs Matteo Martineau
opposite sides · consensus Matteo Martineau
Maxim Mrva $22——Matteo Martineau $4.6K
W50 Heraklion: Lucie Nguyen Tan vs Martha MATOULA
opposite sides · consensus Martha MATOULA
Lucie Nguyen Tan $6——Martha MATOULA $1.8K
M25 Valencia: Samuele Pieri vs Marcel Zielinski
opposite sides · consensus Samuele Pieri
Samuele Pieri $20——Marcel Zielinski $201