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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530RN1surfandturfjoseph00677
Record (consensus markets)67% (21134–10193, n=31327)47% (13860–15343, n=29203)52% (273–252, n=525)50% (10–10, n=20)
Consensus PnL$76K$13.4M$4.1M$5.3M
Tracked asPM monthly #967PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #326PM monthly #2
Sides with the consensus50% (1 of 2 open)75% (3 of 4 open)50% (1 of 2 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • MMA +4 pts n=148, ROI +10%
  • NBA +4 pts n=76, ROI +12%
Weakest topic——NFL −11 pts, n=58—
Settled positions, side won62% of 5202 at avg 59¢, ROI +4%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%53% of 536 at avg 53¢, ROI 0%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢18% (won 13% of 959)10% (won 57% of 2537)20% (won 12% of 109)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 41% of 850)22% (won 94% of 5518)21% (won 46% of 114)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢21% (won 68% of 1116)36% (won 99% of 8928)33% (won 60% of 176)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up44% (won 88% of 2277)32% (won 100% of 7821)26% (won 82% of 137)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.