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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495 | BreakTheBank | HomeRunHazard | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 69% (9–4, n=13) | 56% (20–16, n=36) | 55% (201–167, n=368) | 66% (479–242, n=721) |
| Consensus PnL | -$612 | $822K | $227K | -$146K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #354 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #44 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 64% (99 of 154 open) | 33% (2 of 6 open) | 62% (26 of 42 open) | 67% (2 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −2 pts, n=13 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 73% of 33 at avg 70¢, ROI −1% | 100% of 20 at avg 50¢, ROI +47% | 100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | 100% of 205 at avg 68¢, ROI +33% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 21% (won 0% of 7) | 0% | 1% (won 100% of 1) | 6% (won 100% of 12) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 0% of 2) | 60% (won 100% of 12) | 32% (won 100% of 31) | 13% (won 100% of 26) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 3% (won 100% of 1) | 35% (won 100% of 7) | 57% (won 100% of 55) | 30% (won 100% of 62) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 70% (won 100% of 23) | 5% (won 100% of 1) | 10% (won 100% of 10) | 51% (won 100% of 105) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.