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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xc8b9a30184244d427169cf62485dde6041b2b836RN100gringo00beachboy4
Record (consensus markets)65% (207–111, n=318)47% (13855–15338, n=29193)75% (6–2, n=8)68% (43–20, n=63)
Consensus PnL$371K$13.4M$3.5M$5.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #187PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #19was PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensus74% (45 of 61 open)100% (2 of 2 open)no open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic———NBA −6 pts, n=92
Settled positions, side won62% of 371 at avg 55¢, ROI +12%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢28% (won 19% of 104)10% (won 57% of 2537)0%3% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢17% (won 43% of 63)22% (won 94% of 5518)0%29% (won 56% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢12% (won 76% of 46)36% (won 99% of 8928)100% (won 86% of 7)54% (won 51% of 115)
Entries 70¢ and up43% (won 94% of 158)32% (won 100% of 7821)0%14% (won 86% of 29)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.