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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xc8b9a30184244d427169cf62485dde6041b2b836sainttroplayBreakTheBank00gringo00
Record (consensus markets)65% (203–109, n=312)71% (10–4, n=14)45% (537–652, n=1189)75% (6–2, n=8)
Consensus PnL$371K$4.4M$10.6M$3.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #187was PM monthly #11PM monthly #1was PM monthly #19
Sides with the consensus78% (39 of 50 open)no open consensus position85% (52 of 61 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won62% of 371 at avg 55¢, ROI +12%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%
Entries under 30¢28% (won 19% of 104)0%10% (won 82% of 56)0%
Entries 30–50¢17% (won 43% of 63)50% (won 100% of 5)36% (won 98% of 198)0%
Entries 50–70¢12% (won 76% of 46)50% (won 100% of 5)35% (won 99% of 191)100% (won 86% of 7)
Entries 70¢ and up43% (won 94% of 158)0%19% (won 100% of 107)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xc8b9a30184244d427169cf62485dde6041b2b836sainttroplayBreakTheBank00gringo00
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $21K—No $32K—
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $14K—Yes $34K—
Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $427—Yes $20K—