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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
Add:RN1BreakTheBankbeachboy4joseph00677sainttroplay0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241
| 0xd32ce89f16509d3c8f8b5e9750305a5b2bc2a4c2 | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 24% (382–1198, n=1580) | 66% (876–458, n=1334) |
| Consensus PnL | $101K | $4.1M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #460 | PM monthly #26 |
| Sides with the consensus | 69% (11 of 16 open) | 75% (27 of 36 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Mentions −3 pts, n=448 | NFL −10 pts, n=132 |
| Settled positions, side won | 38% of 1359 at avg 40¢, ROI +2% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 58% (won 1% of 795) | 13% (won 16% of 160) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 3% (won 35% of 34) | 20% (won 40% of 253) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 3% (won 53% of 40) | 24% (won 57% of 310) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 36% (won 97% of 490) | 43% (won 93% of 544) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xd32ce89f16509d3c8f8b5e9750305a5b2bc2a4c2 | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $64 | Yes $2.9M |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus No | No $230 | Yes $544K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House same side · consensus No | No $266 | No $1.4M |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $1.2K | No $95K |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | No $390 | No $61K |