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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-175709477184600gringo00RN1BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)57% (24452–18743, n=43195)75% (6–2, n=8)47% (13854–15338, n=29192)45% (542–652, n=1194)
Consensus PnL$1.0M$3.5M$13.4M$10.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #243was PM monthly #19PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus29% (2 of 7 open)no open consensus position75% (3 of 4 open)89% (127 of 142 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won96% of 17522 at avg 58¢, ROI +41%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 67% of 1791)0%10% (won 57% of 2537)10% (won 82% of 56)
Entries 30–50¢23% (won 99% of 4010)0%22% (won 94% of 5518)36% (won 98% of 198)
Entries 50–70¢34% (won 100% of 5913)100% (won 86% of 7)36% (won 99% of 8928)35% (won 99% of 191)
Entries 70¢ and up33% (won 100% of 5808)0%32% (won 100% of 7821)19% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.