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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xdeff55f3132a313985035c34539e94da7b9178f8BreakTheBankjoseph00677ndb1
Record (consensus markets)100% (1–0, n=1)95% (310–15, n=325)no settled marketno settled market
Consensus PnL-$13K$8.4M—$0
Tracked aswas PM monthly #943PM monthly #1PM monthly #7PM monthly #110
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position84% (32 of 38 open)no open consensus position74% (67 of 90 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic———NFL −7 pts, n=158
Settled positions, side won97% of 338 at avg 53¢, ROI +44%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 83% of 18)10% (won 82% of 60)12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 14% of 196)
Entries 30–50¢28% (won 97% of 95)36% (won 98% of 212)6% (won 0% of 1)18% (won 40% of 283)
Entries 50–70¢64% (won 98% of 216)35% (won 100% of 205)65% (won 73% of 11)23% (won 58% of 348)
Entries 70¢ and up3% (won 100% of 9)20% (won 100% of 116)18% (won 67% of 3)46% (won 94% of 710)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xdeff55f3132a313985035c34539e94da7b9178f8BreakTheBankjoseph00677ndb1
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $425K—No $350K
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $306K—Yes $12K