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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xe1666d904d93B2172d2ee0B01a78affAfE058F14-1768421530120BreakTheBankFlaznorpsainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)no settled market46% (560–667, n=1227)53% (5928–5310, n=11238)no settled market
Consensus PnL—$9.4M$3.3M—
Tracked as—PM monthly #2PM monthly #16—
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position57% (13 of 23 open)69% (182 of 265 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
not computed yet
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won—97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%—
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 423)—
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 243)—
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 201)17% (won 62% of 255)—
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 115)38% (won 94% of 561)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xe1666d904d93B2172d2ee0B01a78affAfE058F14-1768421530120BreakTheBankFlaznorpsainttroplay
Spread: Celtics (-11.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
—Celtics $8.4KCeltics $215—
Hawks vs. Wizards
same side · consensus Hawks
—Hawks $576Hawks $1.7K—
Spread: Hawks (-3.5)
same side · consensus Hawks
—Hawks $66Hawks $220—
Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)
same side · consensus Pelicans
—Jazz $217Jazz $4—