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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xe98c6194374418b1d1b27321f025bd64ac2c8792ndb1RN1sainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)46% (348–408, n=756)66% (876–458, n=1334)47% (14348–15981, n=30329)71% (10–4, n=14)
Consensus PnL-$28K$4.1M$14.8M$4.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #929PM monthly #26PM monthly #18 + pinnedwas PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)72% (28 of 39 open)61% (133 of 219 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
Weakest topic—NFL −10 pts, n=132——
Settled positions, side won98% of 353 at avg 52¢, ROI +46%64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 90% of 10)13% (won 16% of 160)10% (won 57% of 2606)0%
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 123)20% (won 40% of 253)22% (won 94% of 5665)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢60% (won 98% of 212)24% (won 57% of 310)36% (won 99% of 9185)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up2% (won 100% of 8)43% (won 93% of 544)32% (won 100% of 8345)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xe98c6194374418b1d1b27321f025bd64ac2c8792ndb1RN1sainttroplay
Rolex Paris Masters: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Arthur Gea
same side · consensus Jan-Lennard Struff
Arthur Gea $2.3K—Arthur Gea $13K—