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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xf395A47ED88c8F18dF328680eF0FbBF496E523dD-1786216128620RN100gringo00BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)55% (46–38, n=84)47% (13855–15338, n=29193)75% (6–2, n=8)45% (542–652, n=1194)
Consensus PnL$42K$13.4M$3.5M$10.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #292PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #19PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position100% (2 of 2 open)no open consensus position88% (130 of 147 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won69% of 67 at avg 48¢, ROI +18%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢16% (won 45% of 11)10% (won 57% of 2537)0%10% (won 82% of 56)
Entries 30–50¢30% (won 70% of 20)22% (won 94% of 5518)0%36% (won 98% of 198)
Entries 50–70¢51% (won 74% of 34)36% (won 99% of 8928)100% (won 86% of 7)35% (won 99% of 191)
Entries 70¢ and up3% (won 100% of 2)32% (won 100% of 7821)0%19% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.