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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xf475402430f3dc9611abeea737fe69dd02f48486RN1sainttroplayBreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)9% (9–88, n=97)47% (13855–15338, n=29193)71% (10–4, n=14)45% (542–652, n=1194)
Consensus PnL-$53K$13.4M$4.4M$10.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #943PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #11PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 4 open)100% (2 of 2 open)no open consensus position88% (130 of 147 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +5 pts n=32, ROI −32%
  • Tennis +3 pts n=21, ROI −16%
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won83% of 69 at avg 77¢, ROI −33%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢19% (won 8% of 13)10% (won 57% of 2537)0%10% (won 82% of 56)
Entries 30–50¢0%22% (won 94% of 5518)50% (won 100% of 5)36% (won 98% of 198)
Entries 50–70¢1% (won 100% of 1)36% (won 99% of 8928)50% (won 100% of 5)35% (won 99% of 191)
Entries 70¢ and up80% (won 100% of 55)32% (won 100% of 7821)0%19% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xf475402430f3dc9611abeea737fe69dd02f48486RN1sainttroplayBreakTheBank
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $744——Yes $13K
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $301——Yes $1.3K