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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xf5592765133941c40C77e52Bc56bbe7EC167F462-1755612447740 | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | CORGII | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (379–289, n=668) | 45% (537–652, n=1189) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 61% (393–247, n=640) |
| Consensus PnL | -$149K | $10.6M | $4.4M | $4.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #661 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #68 |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (15 of 20 open) | 85% (52 of 61 open) | no open consensus position | 50% (1 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 89% of 484 at avg 60¢, ROI +24% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 5% (won 21% of 24) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 0% | 9% (won 92% of 36) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 18% (won 83% of 88) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 56% (won 99% of 223) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 49% (won 94% of 239) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 33% (won 100% of 133) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 27% (won 98% of 133) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 0% | 2% (won 100% of 7) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xf5592765133941c40C77e52Bc56bbe7EC167F462-1755612447740 | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | CORGII |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $503 | Yes $30K | — | — |