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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7ferrariChampions2026joseph00677ndb1
Record (consensus markets)46% (279–330, n=609)35% (3665–6666, n=10331)45% (10–12, n=22)63% (993–578, n=1571)
Consensus PnL$2.4M$3.1M$5.3M$4.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #240PM monthly #126PM monthly #2PM monthly #96
Sides with the consensus66% (80 of 121 open)74% (23 of 31 open)no open consensus position71% (52 of 73 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic———NFL −9 pts, n=144
Settled positions, side won51% of 714 at avg 48¢, ROI +5%—59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢51% (won 6% of 363)—12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 15% of 186)
Entries 30–50¢3% (won 62% of 21)—6% (won 0% of 1)19% (won 39% of 267)
Entries 50–70¢4% (won 96% of 25)—65% (won 73% of 11)23% (won 58% of 326)
Entries 70¢ and up43% (won 99% of 305)—18% (won 67% of 3)44% (won 94% of 619)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7ferrariChampions2026joseph00677ndb1
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2.4K——No $500K
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $56K——No $87K
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $26K——No $84K
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $9.7K——No $42K
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $22K——No $29K
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $864——No $20K
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $20K——No $678