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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37cjoseph00677S-Worksweflyhigh
Record (consensus markets)no settled market43% (10–13, n=23)75% (2552–856, n=3408)52% (414–381, n=795)
Consensus PnL—$3.2M$3.6M$2.9M
Tracked as—PM monthly #7PM monthly #67Hand-picked
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position0% (0 of 1 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
  • Soccer +19 pts n=32, ROI +31%
  • NHL +3 pts n=601, ROI +3%
  • NBA +11 pts n=45, ROI +13%
Weakest topic——Crypto −1 pts, n=46Entertainment −21 pts, n=12
Settled positions, side won—59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%55% of 745 at avg 51¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢—12% (won 0% of 2)6% (won 14% of 145)3% (won 27% of 26)
Entries 30–50¢—6% (won 0% of 1)16% (won 48% of 367)41% (won 50% of 302)
Entries 50–70¢—65% (won 73% of 11)23% (won 60% of 509)51% (won 58% of 380)
Entries 70¢ and up—18% (won 67% of 3)55% (won 96% of 1235)5% (won 89% of 37)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.