Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026Flaznorpjoseph00677stepanka1234
Record (consensus markets)35% (3649–6671, n=10320)52% (6524–6030, n=12554)45% (10–12, n=22)79% (65–17, n=82)
Consensus PnL$3.0M$3.5M$5.3M$39K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #870PM monthly #23PM monthly #2PM monthly #617
Sides with the consensus67% (28 of 42 open)78% (327 of 419 open)no open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%100% of 60 at avg 78¢, ROI +20%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 465)12% (won 0% of 2)0%
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 40% of 255)6% (won 0% of 1)0%
Entries 50–70¢—16% (won 62% of 260)65% (won 73% of 11)23% (won 100% of 14)
Entries 70¢ and up—39% (won 94% of 637)18% (won 67% of 3)77% (won 100% of 46)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

13 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026Flaznorpjoseph00677stepanka1234
Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Bayer 04 Leverkusen $33KOlympique de Marseille $3.3K——
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $2.4KUnder $24K——
Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $255Under $18K——
RSC Anderlecht vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $120Under $8.9K——
Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $3.8KOver $3.5K——
Atalanta BC vs. Qairat FK: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.3KUnder $2.7K——
Charlottesville: Daniel Milavsky vs Max Hans Rehberg
opposite sides · consensus Max Hans Rehberg
Max Hans Rehberg $3.3KDaniel Milavsky $652——
Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Sport Lisboa e Benfica $229KKS Lech Poznań $2.6K——
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.2KOver $406——
RC Celta de Vigo vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $150Under $2.4K——
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Taylor Fritz
same side · consensus Taylor Fritz
Taylor Fritz $112KTaylor Fritz $14K——
Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Filip Misolic
same side · consensus Filip Misolic
Filip Misolic $24KFilip Misolic $4.0K——
PFK Levski Sofia vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $22KUnder $4.5K——
Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)
same side · consensus AC Sparta Praha
AC Sparta Praha $10KAC Sparta Praha $11K——
Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)
same side · consensus Ferencvárosi TC
Ferencvárosi TC $13KFerencvárosi TC $7.2K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2.3KUnder $13K——
Crystal Palace FC vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2.9KUnder $6.9K——
Aarhus GF vs. SC Braga: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $907Under $2.3K——
Spread: SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz (-1.5)
same side · consensus NK Celje
NK Celje $325NK Celje $2.7K——
Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $240Under $2.1K——
Lillestrøm SK vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702Under $769——
Spread: Sunderland AFC (-1.5)
same side · consensus GNK Dinamo Zagreb
GNK Dinamo Zagreb $137GNK Dinamo Zagreb $514——
Lincoln Red Imps FC vs. HNK Hajduk Split: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $319Under $318——