Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Under — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Under
Aarhus GF vs. SC Braga: O/U 2.5
Resolved Under. 48% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
21
Under 42%
$8.9K
$1.6K
Smart Money Signal
10 of 21 top traders (48%)11 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LI LightParadox | Underavg 50.1¢ | $1.3K | $2.6K | +$1.3K | 52% 1388-1305 (2693) |
VE Venusian | Underavg 51.1¢ | $1.2K | $2.3K | +$1.1K | 51% 1392-1360 (2752) |
FE ferrariChampions2026 | Underavg 49.2¢ | $744.14 | $1.5K | +$766.86 | 42% 8009-11197 (19206) |
MA MadridTime | Underavg 50¢ | $392.71 | $786 | +$393.29 | 50% 1337-1318 (2655) |
LI Limousin | Underavg 50¢ | $241.96 | $484.2 | +$242.24 | 53% 1439-1280 (2719) |
GC GC-PCTR | Overavg 52¢ | $461.17 | $444.62 | -$16.56 | 64% 9970-5599 (15569) |
SE sentrio | Underavg 49.7¢ | $196.33 | $395.37 | +$199.04 | 50% 25837-25546 (51383) |
SN SnakeBall | Underavg 50¢ | $170 | $340 | +$170 | 51% 37678-36905 (74583) |
 RN1<$100 | Underavg 60¢ | $20.08 | $30 | +$9.92 | 53% 61386-53697 (115083) |
38 38791873984189CTR | Overavg 51.5¢ | $704.05 | $5 | -$651.28 | 48% 61202-65999 (127201) |
 VeryLucky888 | Underavg 47.7¢ | $203.06 | $0.01 | +$1.5 | 58% 46718-33677 (80395) |
FL FlaznorpCTR | Overavg 54.6¢ | $1.2K | — | +$1.1K | 51% 25776-24479 (50255) |
OM omnibus-076daaCTR | Overavg 54.2¢ | $603.96 | — | -$603.96 | 50% 21199-21466 (42665) |
 0xheavy888 | Underavg 47.9¢ | $102.77 | — | +$111.63 | 56% 7922-6326 (14248) |
LU LuckyLooCTR<$100 | Overavg 4¢ | $10.14 | — | -$10.14 | 49% 14716-15388 (30104) |
 alpheclabs2CTR | Overavg 50¢ | $1.8K | — | -$909.99 | 47% 1238-1414 (2652) |
ZT ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoGCTR<$100 | Overavg 51.7¢ | $71.73 | — | -$71.73 | 58% 6738-4793 (11531) |
NM NM-PCTR | Overavg 52¢ | $363.54 | — | -$120.69 | 64% 9929-5531 (15460) |
PA Pan9XCTR | Overavg 50.8¢ | $320.06 | — | -$281.26 | 54% 9742-8135 (17877) |
LI LilybaeumCTR<$100 | Overavg 12.3¢ | $14.32 | — | -$14.32 | 61% 14368-9297 (23665) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR | Overavg 51¢ | $1.1K | — | $-1.1K | 47% 11740-13459 (25199) |
Invested
$1,319.57
Value
$2.6K
PnL
+$1.3K
Record
52%
1388-1305 (2693)
Invested
$1,154.85
Value
$2.3K
PnL
+$1.1K
Record
51%
1392-1360 (2752)
Invested
$744.14
Value
$1.5K
PnL
+$766.86
Record
42%
8009-11197 (19206)
Invested
$392.71
Value
$786
PnL
+$393.29
Record
50%
1337-1318 (2655)
Invested
$241.96
Value
$484.2
PnL
+$242.24
Record
53%
1439-1280 (2719)
Invested
$461.17
Value
$444.62
PnL
-$16.56
Record
64%
9970-5599 (15569)
Invested
$196.33
Value
$395.37
PnL
+$199.04
Record
50%
25837-25546 (51383)
Invested
$170
Value
$340
PnL
+$170
Record
51%
37678-36905 (74583)
RN1<$100Invested
$20.08
Value
$30
PnL
+$9.92
Record
53%
61386-53697 (115083)
Invested
$704.05
Value
$5
PnL
-$651.28
Record
48%
61202-65999 (127201)
VeryLucky888Invested
$203.06
Value
$0.01
PnL
+$1.5
Record
58%
46718-33677 (80395)
Invested
$1,238.4
Value
—
PnL
+$1.1K
Record
51%
25776-24479 (50255)
Invested
$603.96
Value
—
PnL
-$603.96
Record
50%
21199-21466 (42665)
0xheavy888Invested
$102.77
Value
—
PnL
+$111.63
Record
56%
7922-6326 (14248)
Invested
$10.14
Value
—
PnL
-$10.14
Record
49%
14716-15388 (30104)
alpheclabs2CTRInvested
$1,819.98
Value
—
PnL
-$909.99
Record
47%
1238-1414 (2652)
Invested
$71.73
Value
—
PnL
-$71.73
Record
58%
6738-4793 (11531)
Invested
$363.54
Value
—
PnL
-$120.69
Record
64%
9929-5531 (15460)
Invested
$320.06
Value
—
PnL
-$281.26
Record
54%
9742-8135 (17877)
Invested
$14.32
Value
—
PnL
-$14.32
Record
61%
14368-9297 (23665)
Invested
$1,125.26
Value
—
PnL
$-1.1K
Record
47%
11740-13459 (25199)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
LightParadox
Under — $2.6K
Venusian
Under — $2.3K
ferrariChampions2026
Under — $1.5K
MadridTime
Under — $786
Limousin
Under — $484.2
GC-P
CTROver — $444.62
sentrio
Under — $395.37
SnakeBall
Under — $340
RN1
Under — $30
38791873984189
CTROver — $5