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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026Flaznorpprimmropetard
Record (consensus markets)35% (3641–6652, n=10293)52% (6467–6001, n=12468)50% (1105–1117, n=2222)65% (112–59, n=171)
Consensus PnL$3.0M$3.5M$3.6M$79K
Tracked asPM monthly #558PM monthly #22PM monthly #46PM monthly #376
Sides with the consensus64% (21 of 33 open)76% (189 of 249 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • NBA +8 pts n=131, ROI +2%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%57% of 133 at avg 49¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 465)5% (won 94% of 51)6% (won 25% of 8)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 40% of 255)41% (won 99% of 412)41% (won 44% of 55)
Entries 50–70¢—16% (won 62% of 260)50% (won 99% of 503)50% (won 71% of 66)
Entries 70¢ and up—39% (won 94% of 637)5% (won 100% of 47)3% (won 75% of 4)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026Flaznorpprimmropetard
Rolex Paris Masters: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Casper Ruud
opposite sides · consensus Casper Ruud
Jan-Lennard Struff $12KCasper Ruud $43K——
Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Olympique de Marseille
Bayer 04 Leverkusen $30KOlympique de Marseille $6.7K——
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 235.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $3.3KOver $447——
Panathinaikós AO vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $3.0KUnder $14——
Spread: FC Lugano (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus FC Lugano
FK Kauno Žalgiris $69FC Lugano $2.1K——
Spread: FC Twente (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Páfos FC
FC Twente $309Páfos FC $419——
Cali: Luisina Giovannini vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
Bianca Andreescu $14KBianca Andreescu $3.4K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2.2KUnder $13K——
Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $388Under $13K——
AS Monaco FC vs. FC Nordsjælland: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $766Under $11K——
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $4.6KUnder $5.0K——
Villa Maria: Federico Coria vs Valerio Aboian
same side · consensus Federico Coria
Federico Coria $6.4KFederico Coria $95——
Counter-Strike: KUUSAMO.gg vs maybe (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series Group B
same side · consensus maybe
maybe $160maybe $82——