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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
254321758BreakTheBank00gringo00CORGII
Record (consensus markets)66% (217–114, n=331)45% (542–652, n=1194)75% (6–2, n=8)62% (395–247, n=642)
Consensus PnL$117K$10.6M$3.5M$4.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #612PM monthly #1was PM monthly #19PM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus100% (2 of 2 open)89% (141 of 159 open)no open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tech +5 pts n=15, ROI +5%
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicMentions −2 pts, n=12———
Settled positions, side won63% of 315 at avg 62¢, ROI +2%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢23% (won 16% of 73)10% (won 82% of 56)0%9% (won 92% of 36)
Entries 30–50¢11% (won 40% of 35)36% (won 98% of 198)0%56% (won 99% of 223)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 50% of 54)35% (won 99% of 191)100% (won 86% of 7)33% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 70¢ and up49% (won 95% of 153)19% (won 100% of 107)0%2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market254321758BreakTheBank00gringo00CORGII
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $16KYes $172K——