← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 2829 | beachboy4 | sainttroplay | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (462–536, n=998) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 50% (941–941, n=1882) |
| Consensus PnL | -$36K | $5.8M | $4.4M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #604 | was PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (1 of 2 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | no open consensus position | 60% (6 of 10 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
| |
| Weakest topic | NHL −15 pts, n=17 | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 762 at avg 50¢, ROI +1% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 19% (won 19% of 144) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 0% | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 28% (won 41% of 214) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 34% (won 70% of 258) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 89% of 146) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 0% | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 2829 | beachboy4 | sainttroplay | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Rams (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Rams | Chargers $263 | — | — | Rams $4 |