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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
2HAEclassifiedRememberAmalekWiretransferxyz
Record (consensus markets)86% (6–1, n=7)27% (30–82, n=112)70% (143–62, n=205)63% (130–77, n=207)
Consensus PnL$572$783K$494K$581K
Tracked asPM monthly #890PM monthly #334PM monthly #149PM monthly #231
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position68% (19 of 28 open)54% (83 of 154 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnot computed yetnot computed yetnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won————
Entries under 30¢————
Entries 30–50¢————
Entries 50–70¢————
Entries 70¢ and up————

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market2HAEclassifiedRememberAmalekWiretransferxyz
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $225Yes $1.6K—
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $14No $28—
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
same side · consensus No
—No $469No $4.8K—
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $12Yes $549—