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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 2HAE | classified | denizz | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 86% (6–1, n=7) | 27% (30–82, n=112) | 57% (34–26, n=60) | 52% (102–94, n=196) |
| Consensus PnL | $572 | $783K | $1.1M | $2.7M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #890 | PM monthly #334 | PM monthly #162 | PM monthly #111 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 68% (19 of 28 open) | 85% (23 of 27 open) | 74% (66 of 89 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet | not computed yet | not computed yet | not computed yet |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | — | — | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | — | — | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | — | — | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | — | — | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | — | — | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 2HAE | classified | denizz | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $12 | No $40K | — |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $2.3K | Yes $25K | — |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $225 | Yes $10K | — |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? same side · consensus No | — | No $13K | No $251K | — |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? same side · consensus No | — | No $469 | No $1.7K | — |