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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
328.400.fundBreakTheBankjuice-fruitmr.ozi
Record (consensus markets)no settled market96% (291–13, n=304)100% (1–0, n=1)52% (92–85, n=177)
Consensus PnL$89$8.4M$152K$457K
Tracked asPM monthly #100PM monthly #1PM monthly #18PM monthly #114 + pinned
Sides with the consensus55% (11 of 20 open)82% (32 of 39 open)no open consensus position100% (9 of 9 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=83, ROI +49%
  • NBA +47 pts n=58, ROI +46%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=160, ROI +37%
not computed yetnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39%——
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 69% of 36)——
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 97% of 116)——
Entries 50–70¢—37% (won 99% of 124)——
Entries 70¢ and up—17% (won 100% of 56)——

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market328.400.fundBreakTheBankjuice-fruitmr.ozi
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $41K—Yes $188K