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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 38791873984189 | joseph00677 | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (5778–6961, n=12739) | 50% (10–10, n=20) | 46% (131–154, n=285) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $26K | $5.3M | $19.1M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #943 | PM monthly #2 | was PM monthly #715 | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 61% (148 of 242 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 100% (2 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Soccer −1 pts, n=391 | — | College Basketball −12 pts, n=174 | NBA −6 pts, n=93 |
| Settled positions, side won | 46% of 1801 at avg 45¢, ROI +1% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 49% of 1341 at avg 50¢, ROI −2% | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 18% (won 7% of 326) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 0% (won 17% of 6) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 64% (won 48% of 1149) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 42% (won 46% of 565) | 30% (won 57% of 63) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 9% (won 64% of 162) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 57% (won 51% of 766) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 9% (won 90% of 164) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 0% (won 100% of 4) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 38791873984189 | joseph00677 | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $12 | — | — | Yes $4.1K |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $239 | — | — | Yes $66 |