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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
6512395314597884joseph00677RN1sainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)55% (2458–1998, n=4456)53% (10–9, n=19)47% (14348–15981, n=30329)71% (10–4, n=14)
Consensus PnL$46K$5.6M$14.8M$4.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #87PM monthly #2PM monthly #18 + pinnedwas PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensus63% (12 of 19 open)no open consensus position59% (53 of 90 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won56% of 3094 at avg 50¢, ROI +4%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢19% (won 10% of 577)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2606)0%
Entries 30–50¢28% (won 45% of 869)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5665)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢34% (won 71% of 1038)65% (won 73% of 11)36% (won 99% of 9185)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 90% of 610)18% (won 67% of 3)32% (won 100% of 8345)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market6512395314597884joseph00677RN1sainttroplay
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Cameron Norrie
opposite sides · consensus Ben Shelton
Ben Shelton $3.8K—Cameron Norrie $180—
Villa Maria: Thiago Cigarran vs Hernan Casanova
same side · consensus Hernan Casanova
Hernan Casanova $6.6K—Hernan Casanova $12K—
Bratislava 2: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Martin Krumich
same side · consensus Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard $2.7K—Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard $5.3K—
Villa Maria: Juan Estevez vs Ryo Tabata
same side · consensus Ryo Tabata
Ryo Tabata $3.2K—Ryo Tabata $4.4K—
Costa do Sauipe: Rafael Tosetto vs Franco Roncadelli
same side · consensus Franco Roncadelli
Rafael Tosetto $469—Rafael Tosetto $467—