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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
6576575700gringo00sainttroplayBreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)78% (194–55, n=249)75% (6–2, n=8)71% (10–4, n=14)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL-$25K$3.5M$4.4M$10.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #975 + pinnedwas PM monthly #19was PM monthly #11PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus100% (12 of 12 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position74% (73 of 98 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won93% of 304 at avg 84¢, ROI +9%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 33% of 3)0%0%10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢3% (won 78% of 9)0%50% (won 100% of 5)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢9% (won 86% of 28)100% (won 86% of 7)50% (won 100% of 5)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up87% (won 95% of 264)0%0%20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market6576575700gringo00sainttroplayBreakTheBank
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $31K——No $184K
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
No $7.9K——No $214K