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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| 88M | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 43% (840–1128, n=1968) | 47% (13860–15341, n=29201) |
| Consensus PnL | $125K | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #629 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 83% (5 of 6 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |
| Weakest topic | Mentions −14 pts, n=12 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 55% of 1450 at avg 42¢, ROI +13% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 26% (won 18% of 381) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 58% of 526) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 30% (won 77% of 440) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 7% (won 88% of 103) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 88M | RN1 |
|---|---|---|
| Bratislava 2: Michal Krajci vs Niels Visker opposite sides · consensus Michal Krajci | Niels Visker $722 | Michal Krajci $270 |