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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| Ackbar | BreakTheBank | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (27–28, n=55) | 45% (581–722, n=1303) | 50% (1127–1147, n=2274) |
| Consensus PnL | -$29K | $7.3M | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #998 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #50 |
| Sides with the consensus | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 88% (23 of 26 open) | 67% (12 of 18 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | NBA ±0 pts, n=48 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 49% of 51 at avg 50¢, ROI −4% | 97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 2% (won 100% of 1) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 31% (won 31% of 16) | 35% (won 98% of 206) | 41% (won 99% of 418) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 67% (won 56% of 34) | 35% (won 100% of 204) | 49% (won 99% of 504) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 5% (won 100% of 47) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Ackbar | BreakTheBank | primm |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Lakers (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Lakers | Trail Blazers $6.0K | Lakers $277 | — |