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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| AmericaFirst1 | 00gringo00 | sainttroplay | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 65% (2087–1126, n=3213) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) |
| Consensus PnL | $2.4K | $3.5M | $4.4M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #750 | was PM monthly #19 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 64% (7 of 11 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 67% (22 of 33 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
|
|
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 98% of 1497 at avg 70¢, ROI +34% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 52% of 21) | 0% | 0% | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 96% of 244) | 0% | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 32% (won 97% of 482) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 50% (won 100% of 750) | 0% | 0% | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | AmericaFirst1 | 00gringo00 | sainttroplay | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Falcons | Buccaneers $390 | — | — | Falcons $2.7K |