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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| AmericaFirst1 | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 65% (2087–1126, n=3213) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 75% (6–2, n=8) |
| Consensus PnL | $2.4K | $10.6M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #750 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #19 |
| Sides with the consensus | 71% (5 of 7 open) | 73% (73 of 100 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 98% of 1497 at avg 70¢, ROI +34% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 52% of 21) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 96% of 244) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 32% (won 97% of 482) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 100% (won 86% of 7) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 50% (won 100% of 750) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | AmericaFirst1 | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs vs. Broncos opposite sides · consensus Chiefs | Broncos $110 | Chiefs $465K | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) same side · consensus Cowboys | Cardinals $28 | Cardinals $3.0K | — |