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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| AnonymousUsername | 00gringo00 | beachboy4 | surfandturf | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 72% (4258–1677, n=5935) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 54% (225–189, n=414) |
| Consensus PnL | $459K | $3.5M | $5.8M | $9.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #967 | was PM monthly #19 | was PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #326 |
| Sides with the consensus | 66% (103 of 157 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | NFL −11 pts, n=58 |
| Settled positions, side won | 98% of 5348 at avg 56¢, ROI +7% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 53% of 536 at avg 53¢, ROI 0% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 5% (won 74% of 291) | 0% | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 20% (won 12% of 109) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 37% (won 100% of 1986) | 0% | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 21% (won 46% of 114) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 34% (won 100% of 1832) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 33% (won 60% of 176) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 23% (won 100% of 1239) | 0% | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 26% (won 82% of 137) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | AnonymousUsername | 00gringo00 | beachboy4 | surfandturf |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $784 | — | Yes $4.2K | — |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $3.1K | — | Yes $65 | — |