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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BTCGambler24700gringo000x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241
Record (consensus markets)72% (209–83, n=292)75% (6–2, n=8)56% (101–79, n=180)
Consensus PnL$392K$3.5M$3.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #373was PM monthly #19was PM monthly #373
Sides with the consensus81% (46 of 57 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +39 pts n=90, ROI +42%
  • NHL +41 pts n=12, ROI +46%
  • Geopolitics +20 pts n=68, ROI +20%
none with 10+ settled
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won91% of 258 at avg 63¢, ROI +36%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 61% of 31)0%7% (won 75% of 8)
Entries 30–50¢17% (won 89% of 44)0%26% (won 93% of 29)
Entries 50–70¢30% (won 92% of 77)100% (won 86% of 7)42% (won 96% of 47)
Entries 70¢ and up41% (won 100% of 106)0%24% (won 96% of 27)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.