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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BaddiemonkeymashingkeyboardSineNooneEISisyphus-
Record (consensus markets)no settled market99% (245–2, n=247)92% (471–42, n=513)96% (454–18, n=472)
Consensus PnL$582$1.4M$1.0M$648K
Tracked asPM monthly #885PM monthly #10PM monthly #110PM monthly #315
Sides with the consensus87% (103 of 119 open)80% (8 of 10 open)100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +50 pts n=89, ROI +49%
  • NFL +49 pts n=63, ROI +46%
  • MLB +49 pts n=36, ROI +50%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 240 at avg 51¢, ROI +49%92% of 511 at avg 55¢, ROI +33%98% of 463 at avg 58¢, ROI +39%
Entries under 30¢—3% (won 100% of 6)5% (won 83% of 23)4% (won 82% of 17)
Entries 30–50¢—31% (won 100% of 74)36% (won 88% of 182)24% (won 97% of 112)
Entries 50–70¢—66% (won 100% of 158)44% (won 93% of 224)48% (won 99% of 224)
Entries 70¢ and up—1% (won 100% of 2)16% (won 99% of 82)24% (won 100% of 110)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBaddiemonkeymashingkeyboardSineNooneEISisyphus-
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $31Yes $475——