Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BaddiemonkeymashingkeyboardSisyphus-Wiretransferxyz
Record (consensus markets)no settled market99% (245–2, n=247)96% (454–18, n=472)59% (296–204, n=500)
Consensus PnL$582$1.4M$648K$899K
Tracked asPM monthly #885PM monthly #10PM monthly #315PM monthly #230
Sides with the consensus87% (103 of 119 open)80% (8 of 10 open)no open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +50 pts n=89, ROI +49%
  • NFL +49 pts n=63, ROI +46%
  • MLB +49 pts n=36, ROI +50%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 240 at avg 51¢, ROI +49%98% of 463 at avg 58¢, ROI +39%59% of 495 at avg 53¢, ROI +8%
Entries under 30¢—3% (won 100% of 6)4% (won 82% of 17)6% (won 17% of 29)
Entries 30–50¢—31% (won 100% of 74)24% (won 97% of 112)35% (won 46% of 171)
Entries 50–70¢—66% (won 100% of 158)48% (won 99% of 224)47% (won 66% of 233)
Entries 70¢ and up—1% (won 100% of 2)24% (won 100% of 110)13% (won 89% of 62)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBaddiemonkeymashingkeyboardSisyphus-Wiretransferxyz
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $31Yes $475——