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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BettongCORGIIRN10x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188
Record (consensus markets)60% (297–202, n=499)62% (395–247, n=642)47% (13858–15341, n=29199)46% (131–154, n=285)
Consensus PnL-$55K$4.5M$13.4M$19.0M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #366PM monthly #68PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #715
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)100% (1 of 1 open)75% (3 of 4 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won57% of 495 at avg 55¢, ROI −2%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%—
Entries under 30¢18% (won 14% of 88)9% (won 92% of 36)10% (won 57% of 2537)—
Entries 30–50¢23% (won 36% of 115)56% (won 99% of 223)22% (won 94% of 5518)—
Entries 50–70¢28% (won 67% of 139)33% (won 100% of 133)36% (won 99% of 8928)—
Entries 70¢ and up31% (won 90% of 153)2% (won 100% of 7)32% (won 100% of 7821)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.