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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)no settled marketno settled market47% (160–182, n=342)100% (1–0, n=1)
Consensus PnL-$2—-$49K$111K
Tracked asPM monthly #11PM monthly #156PM monthly #35 + pinnedPM monthly #111
Sides with the consensus93% (85 of 91 open)no open consensus position75% (6 of 8 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • MLB +5 pts n=17, ROI +44%
Weakest topicSoccer −2 pts, n=196NFL −8 pts, n=71——
Settled positions, side won67% of 1058 at avg 65¢, ROI +2%54% of 496 at avg 57¢, ROI +1%100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36%92% of 511 at avg 55¢, ROI +33%
Entries under 30¢31% (won 6% of 323)19% (won 10% of 96)1% (won 100% of 3)5% (won 83% of 23)
Entries 30–50¢4% (won 51% of 45)21% (won 35% of 105)26% (won 100% of 62)36% (won 88% of 182)
Entries 50–70¢4% (won 74% of 38)27% (won 54% of 132)40% (won 100% of 95)44% (won 93% of 224)
Entries 70¢ and up62% (won 99% of 652)33% (won 91% of 163)33% (won 100% of 80)16% (won 99% of 82)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.