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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Bigggggggg | ndb1 | RN1 | Wiretransferxyz | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | no settled market | 47% (160–182, n=342) | 0% (0–1, n=1) |
| Consensus PnL | -$2 | — | -$49K | -$16K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #156 | PM monthly #35 + pinned | PM monthly #226 |
| Sides with the consensus | 93% (85 of 91 open) | no open consensus position | 67% (6 of 9 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Soccer −2 pts, n=196 | NFL −8 pts, n=71 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 67% of 1058 at avg 65¢, ROI +2% | 54% of 496 at avg 57¢, ROI +1% | 100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36% | 59% of 495 at avg 53¢, ROI +8% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 31% (won 6% of 323) | 19% (won 10% of 96) | 1% (won 100% of 3) | 6% (won 17% of 29) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 4% (won 51% of 45) | 21% (won 35% of 105) | 26% (won 100% of 62) | 35% (won 46% of 171) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 4% (won 74% of 38) | 27% (won 54% of 132) | 40% (won 100% of 95) | 47% (won 66% of 233) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 62% (won 99% of 652) | 33% (won 91% of 163) | 33% (won 100% of 80) | 13% (won 89% of 62) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.