← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BikesAreTheBikes | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 26% (610–1728, n=2338) | 45% (537–652, n=1189) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $60K | $10.6M | $3.5M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #541 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #19 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 56% (45 of 80 open) | 85% (50 of 59 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | Weather −5 pts, n=16 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 48% of 1358 at avg 35¢, ROI +9% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 57% (won 19% of 774) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 0% | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 12% (won 66% of 157) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 0% | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 11% (won 85% of 151) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 97% of 276) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 0% | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BikesAreTheBikes | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $136 | Yes $14K | — | — |