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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpisco22joseph00677
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)53% (7602–6859, n=14461)62% (156–97, n=253)45% (10–12, n=22)
Consensus PnL$7.6M$4.1M$51K$5.3M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #11was PM monthly #693PM monthly #2
Sides with the consensus89% (32 of 36 open)67% (121 of 181 open)0% (0 of 1 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%71% of 232 at avg 62¢, ROI +9%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)0%12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)14% (won 55% of 33)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)56% (won 74% of 131)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)29% (won 74% of 68)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpisco22joseph00677
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $120K—Yes $2.2M
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Claire Liu vs Alexandra Eala
same side · consensus Claire Liu
—Alexandra Eala $6.8KAlexandra Eala $5.9K—