← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | northdrawer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 52% (6520–6024, n=12544) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 56% (11652–9317, n=20969) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $3.5M | $5.3M | -$186K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #113 |
| Sides with the consensus | 86% (24 of 28 open) | 68% (223 of 327 open) | no open consensus position | 81% (39 of 48 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — | Soccer −3 pts, n=341 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 39% of 5489 at avg 42¢, ROI −2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 57% (won 0% of 3123) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 2% (won 46% of 134) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 4% (won 61% of 222) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 37% (won 96% of 2010) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.