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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpndb1Uniform123
Record (consensus markets)45% (573–710, n=1283)52% (6519–6017, n=12536)63% (990–573, n=1563)no settled market
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.5M$3.2M—
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #24PM monthly #106—
Sides with the consensus83% (24 of 29 open)68% (225 of 329 open)73% (81 of 111 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
not computed yet
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%—
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 465)13% (won 15% of 168)—
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 255)20% (won 39% of 256)—
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)16% (won 62% of 260)24% (won 58% of 314)—
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)39% (won 94% of 637)43% (won 93% of 550)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpndb1Uniform123
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
same side · consensus No
Yes $7—Yes $993K—
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $407K—No $335K—